Idan aka waiwayi kasuwar tsiri mai zafi a cikin watan Yuni 2022, farashin yana tafiya da rauni.Bayan an shawo kan annobar a hankali a farkon wata, yawan bukatar kasuwa bai inganta sosai ba.Bugu da kari, farashin karafa na kasa da kasa ya ci gaba da raguwa, kwarin gwiwar kasuwa ya ragu sannu a hankali, kuma farashin ya ci gaba da raguwa.Farashin ya tashi kadan yana gyarawa.
Idan ana sa ran kasuwar tsiri mai zafi a watan Yulin 2022, da wuya buƙatun kasuwar za ta inganta sosai a lokutan gargajiya, amma galibin masana'antun karafa sun rage yawan amfanin gonarsu saboda asara, kuma ana iya samun sabani tsakanin wadata da buƙata. a saukake.Wannan labarin a taƙaice yana taƙaita kasuwa a watan Yuni 2022 daga ra'ayoyi na farashi, farashi, wadata da buƙata, kuma yana yin tsinkaya mai sauƙi game da yanayin farashin kayan tsiri mai zafi a cikin Yuli 2022, kamar haka:
1. Bita na cikin gida zafi birgima tsiri karfe kasuwar a watan Yuni
A watan Yunin 2022, farashin kasuwar ƙofa ta ƙasa mai zafi zai yi rauni.Duk da cewa an shawo kan lamarin yadda ya kamata, har yanzu bukatar kasuwa ta yi rauni saboda tasirin damina.kunkuntar a baya.Musamman, dangane da kunkuntar tsiri: matsakaicin farashin ƙasa na tsiri mai zafi da kunkuntar tsiri a farkon watan Yuni 2022 ya kasance yuan 4,890 / ton, ƙasa da yuan / ton 455 daga yuan / ton 4,435 a ƙarshen wata;dangane da matsakaita da watsa shirye-shirye: a farkon watan Yuni na 2022, yanayin zafi mai zafi na kasa Matsakaicin farashin watsa shirye-shiryen ya kai yuan/ton 4905, ya ragu da yuan/ton 459 daga yuan/ton 4446 a karshen wata, da bambancin farashin da ke tsakanin fadi. kuma kunkuntar tsiri karfe ya ɗan rage daga yuan 15/ton a farkon wata zuwa yuan 11/ton.
(1) Kallon kasuwar tsiri daga kasuwar billet
Yin la'akari daga Hoto na 1, a cikin Yuni 2022, farashin ɓangarorin ɓangarorin 145mm da kwalabe na ƙarfe duk sun nuna yanayin raguwa.Ya zuwa ƙarshen Yuni 2022, bambancin farashin ya kasance tsakanin 200-370 yuan / ton, kuma bambancin farashin ya kasance ƙasa da ƙasa, amma ya ɗan ɗan girma fiye da lokacin da ya gabata.gyara.A halin yanzu, jimlar yawan aiki na gyare-gyaren billet da birgima har yanzu ba su da yawa, kuma kididdigar zamantakewar kuɗaɗen ƙarfe na ƙarfe ya fi na lokaci ɗaya a shekarun baya.Bugu da kari, masana'antun karafa a halin yanzu suna fuskantar matsin lamba na kudi kuma galibi ana fitar da su, don haka an gyara bambancin farashin gaba daya.Amma buƙatun da ke ƙasa a halin yanzu ba shi da kyau, sake cikawa, don haka 145mm tsiri karfe na iya samun ɗan ɗaki don haɓaka mai ƙarfi a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci.
(2) Duban kasuwar tsiri ta karfe daga farashin sasantawa na taron karafa na Arewacin China
A ranar 24 ga watan Yuni, 2022, an gudanar da taron karafa na yankin Arewacin kasar Sin.Dangane da ruhin taron karawa juna sani na Arewacin kasar Sin a ranar 25 ga Mayu, 2022, kowane kamfani ya tsara shirin tsiri na Yuni bisa ga nasu samarwa da yanayin aiki da yanayin kasuwa.Farashin da farashin jagora na tsiri karfe a watan Yuli sune kamar haka: Farashin sasantawa na Taron Taro Karfe na Arewacin China: A watan Yuni 2022, farashin sasantawa da ke ƙasa 355 zai zama yuan / ton 4530, 356-680 zai zama yuan 4550 / ton, kuma farashin sama da 680 zai zama yuan / ton 4580.Farashin jagora na wata-wata: 4400 yuan / ton, tsabar kuɗi gami da haraji, da yuan 70 / ton don karɓa.Ɗaukar farashin kasuwa na 2.5 * 232-355mm zafi birgima tsiri karfe a Tangshan Hongxing a matsayin misali, farashin a farkon Yuni 2022 ya kasance mafi girma fiye da daidaita farashin tsiri karfe a Arewacin Sin, amma farashin koma baya a karshen rabin na shekara.Har yanzu akwai riba a cikin wannan watan.Ga kasuwar Yuli, saboda masana'antar karafa ta rage yarjejeniyar samarwa ko rangwame, bayan an rage matsin lamba ga 'yan kasuwa, ana iya samun hauhawar farashin.
(3) Duban kasuwar tsiri ta karfe daga bambancin farashin manyan yankuna na cikin gida
Idan aka yi la’akari da yanayin farashin da ke cikin hoto na 3-4, farashin ɗimbin ɗimbin ɗimbin zafi a cikin kasuwannin cikin gida yana yin rauni, kuma bambancin farashin arewa da kudanci yana canzawa sosai tare da sauye-sauyen farashi.Bambancin farashin kowane wata shine yuan 90-270 / ton.A wannan watan, farashin Tangshan, babban wurin da ake noma, ya shafi kasuwa kuma ya mayar da martani cikin sauri.Farashin a wasu yankuna ya biyo baya.Duk da haka, saboda nisa, yanayin kasuwa da sauran dalilai, farashin kudanci ya koma baya.Yayin da farashin ya daidaita, bambancin farashin da ke tsakanin arewa da kudu ya ragu na ɗan lokaci.Sassan sun yi ƙasa da na al'ada.Duk da cewa wasu albarkatun yankin arewa maso gabas da ke zuwa kudu sun ragu saboda gyaran masana'antar karafa da kuma zuwa daga baya, amma farashin kudanci a halin yanzu ya yi kasa da farashin karfen da ake bi da shi, kuma har yanzu bukatar ta yi rauni, don haka arewa. -Yaduwar kudu na iya kasancewa a matakin yanzu ko kuma ci gaba da kunkuntar..
(4) Kallon kasuwan karfen tsiri daga kasuwa a kasa
Daga Hoto na 5, ɗaukar kasuwar Tangshan a matsayin misali, a cikin watan Yuni 2022, farashin farashin Tangshan bututun bututu da 145mm tsiri karfe iri ɗaya ne, ana kiyaye bambancin farashin akan 130-240 yuan / ton, kuma farashin ya dan kadan. juya.A ranar 30 ga watan Yunin 2022, binciken da aka yi kan gina bututun da ake yi a yankin Tangshan ya kasance kamar haka: Bisa kididdigar da ba ta cika ba, adadin layukan da ake kera bututun da aka yi a yankin Tangshan ya kai 99, daga cikinsu an dakatar da layukan samar da bututu guda 94, da kuma Yawan aiki ya kasance 5.05%, wanda ya kasance karko idan aka kwatanta da makon da ya gabata..Daga cikin su, kamfanoni 19 sun dakatar da samarwa gaba daya, wanda ya hada da layukan samarwa 43;Kamfanonin samarwa na 27 suna da layin samarwa na 56, kuma ainihin ƙimar aiki shine 8.93%.A halin yanzu, a cikin kasuwannin da ba a yi amfani da su ba, jimlar yawan ƙarfin amfani da masana'antar bututun rack da bututu mai murabba'i da murabba'i yana da ƙarancin ƙarancin ƙarfi, kuma buƙatun tsiri na 145mm yana iyakance.Yuli har yanzu yana cikin lokacin damina da kuma yanayin zafi mai zafi, wanda har yanzu yana da tasiri sosai a tashar, don haka buƙatar ƙasa na iya kasancewa mai rauni, don haka farashin 145mm tsiri na ƙarfe na iya ci gaba da yin sauye-sauye a rauni.
Ɗaukar Tangshan a matsayin misali, a cikin watan Yunin 2022, yanayin farashin 232-355mm mai mai zafi mai zafi da bututu mai welded 4-inch iri ɗaya ne, kuma bambancin farashin bututu da tsiri yana tashi sosai.tsakanin.A tsakiyar shekara, farashin tsiri mai zafi ya ragu sosai, kuma farashin bututun ya yi ƙasa sosai, don haka an sami yaduwa mai yawa.Koyaya, yayin da farashin kasuwa ya daidaita sannu a hankali, yaduwar bututu da tsiri ya koma matakin da aka saba.A halin yanzu, ma'amalar masana'antar bututu ba ta da santsi, don haka ana sarrafa kididdigar kayan da aka gama a cikin ƙasa kaɗan, kuma farawar gabaɗaya ta kusan kashi 20-50%, kuma masana'antar bututun ta cika kamar yadda ake buƙata. .A cikin watan Yuli, wasu masana'antun tukwane a Tangshan sun rage yawan noma, amma sabani tsakanin wadata da buƙatu bai yi sauƙi ba a halin yanzu.Ya zuwa ranar 30 ga Yuni, 2022, bisa ga bayanan binciken Mysteel, yawan aiki na tsiri da ƙarfe sama da 232mm ya kasance 51.85%, wanda ke kwance a kowane mako-mako kuma yana ƙaruwa da kashi 7.85% kowane wata;Adadin karfin amfani da wannan makon ya kai kashi 56.93%, raguwar mako-mako da kashi 1.36% da karuwa a wata-wata da kashi 7.18%.
2. Analysis na tsiri fitarwa form
A cikin 'yan shekarun nan, ƙarar tsiri mai zafi na cikin gida a cikin ƙasata ya ragu sannu a hankali.Bugu da kari, bukatuwar tsiri mai zafi a kasuwannin kasashen waje ba ta da yawa, galibi na nada mai zafi da karfe mai sanyi.Sabili da haka, ana kwatanta girman fitarwa na tsiri mai zafi da sauran nau'ikan.A kan ƙananan gefen, ya fi dacewa da samar da bukatar kasuwannin gida, amma yawan fitarwa na karfe mai zafi mai zafi a cikin nau'i na samfurori a cikin masana'antun haske da masana'antun kayan aiki yana da girma.
(1) Canje-canje a cikin fitar da kunkuntar tsiri mai zafi
A cikin watan Mayu 2022, yawan fitarwa na kunkuntar tsiri mai zafi ya kasance tan 23,786.442, karuwa na 2% a wata-wata da karuwar shekara-shekara na 32%.A watan Mayu 2022, za a ci gaba da kiyaye matakin da ya gabata, tare da ƙaramin haɓaka.Duk da haka, farashin kasa da kasa ya ci gaba da raguwa a kwanan nan, har ma da ƙasa da farashin gida, ƙimar farashin ya raunana, kuma fitarwa na iya raguwa.
(2) Canje-canje a cikin fitarwa na kunkuntar tsiri mai sanyi mai birgima
A cikin watan Mayun 2022, fitar da karafa na kunkuntar tsiri mai sanyi ya kai tan 50,779.124, karuwar wata-wata da kashi 33.86% da karuwar shekara-shekara na 54.25%.Yawan fitar da kayayyaki a watan Mayu ya karu sosai idan aka kwatanta da Afrilu saboda tasirin yanayin kasa da kasa.Koyaya, tare da raguwar farashin karafa na ƙasa da ƙasa a baya-bayan nan, ana iya yin tasiri ga fitar da ƴan ƴan ƴan ƴan ƴan ƴan-sanyi a watan Yuli.
3. Kasuwar tulun karafa na cikin gida na iya ci gaba da yin sauyi da rauni a watan Yuli
(1) Gefen farashi
A ranar 29 ga Yuni, 2022, matsakaicin farashin ƙarfe mai zafi ba tare da haraji ga masana'antun sarrafa ƙarfe na yau da kullun ba a Tangshan ya kai yuan 3,388, kuma farashin tsiri ya kai yuan 350/ton.Dangane da kayan masarufi kuwa, coke din ya kai yuan 200/ton, kuma an dan gyara ribar da ake samu a karafa, amma kudin ba shi da wani tallafi a halin yanzu.
(2) Bangaren wadata
Tun daga ranar 30 ga Yuni, 2022, yawan aiki na masana'antun masana'antar samar da ƙarfe mai zafi 63 na Mysteel ya kasance 58.76% a wannan makon, + 2.06% mako-mako;-3.09% wata-wata;amfani da iya aiki shine 61.20%, mako-kan-mako -2.02%;Wata-wata -2.79%;Ainihin abin da aka fitar a wannan makon ya kai tan miliyan 1.4845, duk mako - ton 49,100;wata-wata - 67,600 ton;Kayan niƙa na ƙarfe ya kasance tan 319,600, mako-mako - ton 26,400;wata-wata - 27,700 ton.Duk da cewa abin da ake fitarwa ya yi ƙasa da lokacin da aka yi a shekarun baya, masana'antar sarrafa ƙarfe na yanzu suna ƙarƙashin matsin lamba na kuɗi, don haka ana karɓar oda marasa tsada.Haɗe tare da juyar da farashi, har yanzu akwai tsammanin raguwar samarwa a cikin lokaci na gaba.
(3) Bangaren nema
Yuli har yanzu yana cikin lokacin gargajiya, kuma ba za a iya inganta buƙatun ba saboda damina.A ƙarshen wata, yayin da lokacin damina ke ƙarewa, buƙatun tulin galvanized mai sanyi na iya murmurewa.Duk da haka, farashin kasa da kasa ya ci gaba da raunana kwanan nan.karuwa kuma.
(4) Bangaren kaya
Ya zuwa ranar 30 ga watan Yunin shekarar 2022, jimillar kididdigar kayayyakin karafa masu zafi a kasar a wannan mako ya kai ton 1,083,600, raguwar tan 46,500 daga makon da ya gabata, an samu karin ton 19,500 daga daidai wannan lokacin a watan da ya gabata, kuma an samu karuwa. na tan 396,300 daga daidai wannan lokacin a bara.A halin yanzu, jimillar kididdigar kididdigar da ake samu ta kasa baki daya har yanzu tana da sama da na shekarun baya, amma yayin da wasu masana'antun karafa suka rage samar da kayayyaki, kayan ya ragu kadan.A halin yanzu, matsi na kididdigar kayayyaki na 'yan kasuwa har yanzu yana da yawa, amma kuma akwai wasu kamfanoni mallakar gwamnati da ke killace albarkatu.Bayan ribar da aka samu daga bambancin farashin yanzu a cikin lokaci na gaba, ƙila ƙila ƙila ƙila kirƙira ta ragu sosai.
(5) Duban macroscopic
1. Firaministan kasar Li Keqiang ya jagoranci taron zartaswa na majalisar gudanarwar kasar, domin tantance matakan da za a dauka na kayayyakin hada-hadar kudi na raya kasa bisa manufofi don tallafa wa gina manyan ayyuka, da fadada zuba jari mai inganci don inganta ayyukan yi da amfani da su.Taron ya yanke shawarar yin amfani da manufofin kudi da kayayyakin raya kasa don tara kudin Sin yuan biliyan 300 ta hanyar ba da lamuni na kudi, wanda za a yi amfani da shi wajen kara babban birnin manyan ayyuka ko hada babban birnin ayyukan bashi na musamman.Gwamnatin tsakiya za ta ba da rangwamen da ya dace.
2. Ofishin Shugaban Kungiyar Masu Ba da Lamuni da Lamuni na Majalisar Jiha ya ba da sanarwar turawa don yin aiki mai kyau don tabbatar da sufurin makamashi a lokacin bazara.Tashoshin karbar haraji na kan titi da suka hada da wutar lantarki da sufurin kwal ya kamata su bude dukkan hanyoyin karbar kudi domin kara karfin da ingancin tashoshi.Dangane da harkokin sufurin jiragen kasa, an dauki matakai daban-daban don inganta yadda ake sauke kwal mai zafi.Dangane da harkokin sufurin ruwa, ya zama dole a karfafa sa ido, nazari da kuma yanke hukunci kan jigilar kwal da ajiyar tashar jiragen ruwa a muhimman tashoshin jiragen ruwa kamar tasoshin jiragen ruwa hudu na arewa.
A watan Maris da Yuni, index na Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers (PMI) ya sami maki 51.7, 3.6 bisa dari sama da na watan Mayu, wanda ya kawo karshen yanayin naƙasa na watanni ukun da suka gabata, kuma ya dawo cikin kewayon faɗaɗawa, kuma shine mafi girma tun watan Yuni 2021. .
A takaice dai, a cikin watan Yulin 2022, lokacin damina da yanayin zafi mai zafi za su yi tasiri a kasuwannin damina mai zafi, kuma har yanzu yana iya zama da wahala bukatar ta inganta sosai;kididdigar zamantakewar al'umma ta fi na shekarun da suka gabata, kuma masana'antun suna fuskantar matsin lamba sosai;Masana'antar karafa na da tsare-tsare na rage yawan noma, samar da kayayyaki ya ragu sannu a hankali, kuma ana iya rage sabani tsakanin samarwa da bukata.Amma farashin karafa na duniya a halin yanzu yana ci gaba da faduwa, ko kuma ya shafi farashin kasuwannin cikin gida.A taƙaice, ana sa ran cewa kasuwar tsiri mai zafi na iya ci gaba da yin sauye-sauye a cikin watan Yuli.
Lokacin aikawa: Jul-04-2022